Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average sea surface temperatures around South Florida have maintained elevated overnight minima near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projecting a low of 78–80°F at Miami International Airport. June climatology shows typical lows of 76–78°F, but recent days with minima at or above 81°F reflect a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup underpins the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. A faster-moving cold front or unusually clear, calm conditions could drop readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus and the absence of such features make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
80-81°F 91%
78-79°F 7%
76-77°F 2.8%
72-73°F <1%
$5,446 KL.
$5,446 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
91%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 91%
78-79°F 7%
76-77°F 2.8%
72-73°F <1%
$5,446 KL.
$5,446 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$380 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$213 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$356 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$349 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$784 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$275 KL.
3%
78-79°F
$653 KL.
7%
80-81°F
$755 KL.
91%
82-83°F
$794 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$610 KL.
<1%
86°F or higher
$360 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average sea surface temperatures around South Florida have maintained elevated overnight minima near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projecting a low of 78–80°F at Miami International Airport. June climatology shows typical lows of 76–78°F, but recent days with minima at or above 81°F reflect a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup underpins the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. A faster-moving cold front or unusually clear, calm conditions could drop readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus and the absence of such features make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,446Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average sea surface temperatures around South Florida have maintained elevated overnight minima near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projecting a low of 78–80°F at Miami International Airport. June climatology shows typical lows of 76–78°F, but recent days with minima at or above 81°F reflect a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup underpins the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. A faster-moving cold front or unusually clear, calm conditions could drop readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus and the absence of such features make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,446Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average sea surface temperatures around South Florida have maintained elevated overnight minima near 80°F, consistent with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance projecting a low of 78–80°F at Miami International Airport. June climatology shows typical lows of 76–78°F, but recent days with minima at or above 81°F reflect a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup underpins the market's overwhelming 91% implied probability for the 80–81°F bin. A faster-moving cold front or unusually clear, calm conditions could drop readings into the mid-70s, though current model consensus and the absence of such features make that outcome unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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