**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City stations, particularly the Tacubaya reference site used by Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), recorded a daily maximum of approximately 25.5°C on June 13, 2026.** This aligns precisely with the market’s 25°C outcome, which reached 100% implied probability as traders incorporated the verified reading once preliminary data emerged late on the 13th and early on the 14th. June marks the onset of the rainy season in the Valley of Mexico, where typical highs range 23–26°C amid increasing cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating—consistent with the observed value near the seasonal average. The near-certain consensus reflects real-time confirmation from authoritative government monitoring rather than forecasts alone. Only an unprecedented revision to the official dataset or a redefinition of the resolution criteria (such as using a different station or rounding method) could realistically alter the outcome, both of which remain highly improbable given standard SMN protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 13?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$30,489 KL.
$30,489 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$30,489 KL.
$30,489 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official meteorological observations from Mexico City stations, particularly the Tacubaya reference site used by Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), recorded a daily maximum of approximately 25.5°C on June 13, 2026.** This aligns precisely with the market’s 25°C outcome, which reached 100% implied probability as traders incorporated the verified reading once preliminary data emerged late on the 13th and early on the 14th. June marks the onset of the rainy season in the Valley of Mexico, where typical highs range 23–26°C amid increasing cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating—consistent with the observed value near the seasonal average. The near-certain consensus reflects real-time confirmation from authoritative government monitoring rather than forecasts alone. Only an unprecedented revision to the official dataset or a redefinition of the resolution criteria (such as using a different station or rounding method) could realistically alter the outcome, both of which remain highly improbable given standard SMN protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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