**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, driving the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere place the city under the influence of cooler Atlantic air masses and typical mid-latitude westerlies, with historical June averages near 17°C but recent model runs converging on slightly below-normal values amid possible scattered showers and moderate northwesterly winds. The tight clustering around 14–16°C (collectively over 95% probability) reflects minor uncertainties in local orographic effects from Table Mountain and the timing of any frontal passage, while lower-probability tails account for rare berg-wind warming or stronger cold advection. Updated observational data and next model cycles will refine these ranges as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 14?
15°C 44%
16°C 33%
14°C 19%
17°C 8%
$14,770 KL.
$14,770 KL.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
19%
15°C
44%
16°C
33%
17°C
8%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 33%
14°C 19%
17°C 8%
$14,770 KL.
$14,770 KL.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
19%
15°C
44%
16°C
33%
17°C
8%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 15°C for Cape Town on June 14, 2026, driving the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere place the city under the influence of cooler Atlantic air masses and typical mid-latitude westerlies, with historical June averages near 17°C but recent model runs converging on slightly below-normal values amid possible scattered showers and moderate northwesterly winds. The tight clustering around 14–16°C (collectively over 95% probability) reflects minor uncertainties in local orographic effects from Table Mountain and the timing of any frontal passage, while lower-probability tails account for rare berg-wind warming or stronger cold advection. Updated observational data and next model cycles will refine these ranges as the day progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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