Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
24°C 11%
21°C 10.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
42%
23°C
32%
24°C
17%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
24°C 11%
21°C 10.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
$27 KL.
<1%
18°C
$27 KL.
1%
19°C
$51 KL.
1%
20°C
$11 KL.
5%
21°C
$32 KL.
10%
22°C
$26 KL.
42%
23°C
$3 KL.
32%
24°C
$18 KL.
17%
25°C
$0 KL.
4%
26°C
$37 KL.
1%
27°C or higher
$277 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Khối lượng
$508Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$508Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus, including global ensembles, indicates Shanghai's overnight low on June 15 will most likely settle near 22°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 22°C (41.5%) and 23°C (31.5%), as current guidance clusters tightly between 21–24°C with low spread. Mid-June climatology shows average lows near 21–22°C, while ongoing overcast skies and moisture from the East Asian monsoon further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Updated model runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these trader-weighted odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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