Recent weather model consensus from global forecasting centers points to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and humid air masses typical of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu period. These conditions limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, aligning with historical mid-June averages near 27°C while suppressing peaks above 28°C. Short-range ensemble runs show minimal day-to-day shifts in the steering pattern, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies expected later today could refine land-sea breeze and precipitation timing, potentially narrowing the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
26°C 37%
25°C 26%
27°C 15%
24°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
26%
26°C
37%
27°C
15%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 26%
27°C 15%
24°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
$296 KL.
<1%
22°C
$276 KL.
1%
23°C
$981 KL.
2%
24°C
$775 KL.
12%
25°C
$273 KL.
26%
26°C
$703 KL.
37%
27°C
$950 KL.
15%
28°C
$1,770 KL.
2%
29°C
$1,633 KL.
1%
30°C
$596 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$616 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from global forecasting centers points to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and humid air masses typical of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu period. These conditions limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, aligning with historical mid-June averages near 27°C while suppressing peaks above 28°C. Short-range ensemble runs show minimal day-to-day shifts in the steering pattern, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies expected later today could refine land-sea breeze and precipitation timing, potentially narrowing the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,815Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from global forecasting centers points to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and humid air masses typical of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu period. These conditions limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, aligning with historical mid-June averages near 27°C while suppressing peaks above 28°C. Short-range ensemble runs show minimal day-to-day shifts in the steering pattern, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies expected later today could refine land-sea breeze and precipitation timing, potentially narrowing the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,815Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from global forecasting centers points to a highest temperature of 25–27°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and humid air masses typical of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu period. These conditions limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input, aligning with historical mid-June averages near 27°C while suppressing peaks above 28°C. Short-range ensemble runs show minimal day-to-day shifts in the steering pattern, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies expected later today could refine land-sea breeze and precipitation timing, potentially narrowing the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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