Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shenzhen's June 15 maximum temperature between 28–29 °C with comparable probability, reflecting tight clustering around the marine-influenced subtropical regime. Sea-breeze circulation, moderate southwesterly monsoon flow, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover are the dominant controls keeping values from climbing toward 30 °C or dropping to 27 °C. Historical mid-June climatology shows a mean daily maximum near 30 °C, yet current moisture and boundary-layer stability favor the slightly cooler side. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected overnight will determine whether any shift in the steering pattern or insolation alters the narrow 1 °C window that separates the two leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
28°C 34%
29°C 32%
30°C 14%
27°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
11%
28°C
34%
29°C
32%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 34%
29°C 32%
30°C 14%
27°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$308 KL.
<1%
23°C
$546 KL.
<1%
24°C
$593 KL.
<1%
25°C
$644 KL.
2%
26°C
$881 KL.
7%
27°C
$655 KL.
11%
28°C
$224 KL.
34%
29°C
$196 KL.
32%
30°C
$216 KL.
14%
31°C
$198 KL.
3%
32°C or higher
$551 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shenzhen's June 15 maximum temperature between 28–29 °C with comparable probability, reflecting tight clustering around the marine-influenced subtropical regime. Sea-breeze circulation, moderate southwesterly monsoon flow, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover are the dominant controls keeping values from climbing toward 30 °C or dropping to 27 °C. Historical mid-June climatology shows a mean daily maximum near 30 °C, yet current moisture and boundary-layer stability favor the slightly cooler side. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected overnight will determine whether any shift in the steering pattern or insolation alters the narrow 1 °C window that separates the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,483Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shenzhen's June 15 maximum temperature between 28–29 °C with comparable probability, reflecting tight clustering around the marine-influenced subtropical regime. Sea-breeze circulation, moderate southwesterly monsoon flow, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover are the dominant controls keeping values from climbing toward 30 °C or dropping to 27 °C. Historical mid-June climatology shows a mean daily maximum near 30 °C, yet current moisture and boundary-layer stability favor the slightly cooler side. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected overnight will determine whether any shift in the steering pattern or insolation alters the narrow 1 °C window that separates the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,483Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shenzhen's June 15 maximum temperature between 28–29 °C with comparable probability, reflecting tight clustering around the marine-influenced subtropical regime. Sea-breeze circulation, moderate southwesterly monsoon flow, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover are the dominant controls keeping values from climbing toward 30 °C or dropping to 27 °C. Historical mid-June climatology shows a mean daily maximum near 30 °C, yet current moisture and boundary-layer stability favor the slightly cooler side. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected overnight will determine whether any shift in the steering pattern or insolation alters the narrow 1 °C window that separates the two leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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