Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on June 15, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 21–22°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. Ensemble model guidance shows mild southwesterly flow under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with isolated showers or thundery activity possible that could cap peak temperatures depending on timing and coverage. This setup sits close to the long-term June climatological average of roughly 22°C, while local observational trends and short-range model runs introduce modest spread between 20°C and 23°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture against diurnal heating potential ahead of the next forecast update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
21°C 24%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 24%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on June 15, 2026, converge on a daytime high near 21–22°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. Ensemble model guidance shows mild southwesterly flow under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with isolated showers or thundery activity possible that could cap peak temperatures depending on timing and coverage. This setup sits close to the long-term June climatological average of roughly 22°C, while local observational trends and short-range model runs introduce modest spread between 20°C and 23°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture against diurnal heating potential ahead of the next forecast update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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