Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Seoul on June 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions that permit moderate radiative cooling under light winds and typical early-summer humidity levels around 70–80%. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects small uncertainties in overnight cloud cover and urban heat island effects, which can raise lows by 1–2°C compared to rural baselines. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 17–18°C, but the approaching monsoon transition may introduce variable moisture that limits further cooling. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
18°C 38%
19°C 34%
20°C 11%
17°C 9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
38%
19°C
34%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 38%
19°C 34%
20°C 11%
17°C 9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
38%
19°C
34%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C in Seoul on June 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy nocturnal conditions that permit moderate radiative cooling under light winds and typical early-summer humidity levels around 70–80%. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects small uncertainties in overnight cloud cover and urban heat island effects, which can raise lows by 1–2°C compared to rural baselines. Historical June climatology shows average overnight lows near 17–18°C, but the approaching monsoon transition may introduce variable moisture that limits further cooling. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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