Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s June 14 maximum near 25–26°C under sunny skies with light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 25°C at 49% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this central value, reflecting typical mid-June climatology of 24–26°C highs and the absence of strong warm or cool advection. Lower odds on 24°C and 26°C capture residual model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, while probabilities drop sharply above 27°C given stable high pressure and no indications of anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will refine these ranges ahead of final market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
25°C 55%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
27°C 2.5%
$31,833 KL.
$31,833 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
26%
25°C
55%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
27°C 2.5%
$31,833 KL.
$31,833 KL.
Jun 14, 2026
20°C or below
$6,340 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,321 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,940 KL.
<1%
23°C
$5,559 KL.
<1%
24°C
$3,008 KL.
26%
25°C
$4,025 KL.
55%
26°C
$3,173 KL.
16%
27°C
$1,649 KL.
3%
28°C
$2,110 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,152 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,754 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s June 14 maximum near 25–26°C under sunny skies with light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 25°C at 49% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this central value, reflecting typical mid-June climatology of 24–26°C highs and the absence of strong warm or cool advection. Lower odds on 24°C and 26°C capture residual model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, while probabilities drop sharply above 27°C given stable high pressure and no indications of anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will refine these ranges ahead of final market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,833Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s June 14 maximum near 25–26°C under sunny skies with light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 25°C at 49% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this central value, reflecting typical mid-June climatology of 24–26°C highs and the absence of strong warm or cool advection. Lower odds on 24°C and 26°C capture residual model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, while probabilities drop sharply above 27°C given stable high pressure and no indications of anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will refine these ranges ahead of final market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$31,833Ngày kết thúc
Jun 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s June 14 maximum near 25–26°C under sunny skies with light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 25°C at 49% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this central value, reflecting typical mid-June climatology of 24–26°C highs and the absence of strong warm or cool advection. Lower odds on 24°C and 26°C capture residual model uncertainty in daytime heating rates, while probabilities drop sharply above 27°C given stable high pressure and no indications of anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and official observations through the morning will refine these ranges ahead of final market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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