Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul under stable high-pressure influence on June 15, with daytime heating expected to peak near the long-term June average of 27°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover from regional patterns. This positioning drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C, as small differences in model guidance on peak insolation timing, urban heat island effects, or minor moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs for mid-June indicate low variability absent strong synoptic changes, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs against baseline climatology for resolution on official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 37%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
37%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
26°C or below
$192 KL.
4%
27°C
$382 KL.
7%
28°C
$89 KL.
23%
29°C
$281 KL.
37%
30°C
$559 KL.
24%
31°C
$503 KL.
9%
32°C
$1,116 KL.
<1%
33°C
$266 KL.
<1%
34°C
$1,030 KL.
<1%
35°C
$516 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$334 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul under stable high-pressure influence on June 15, with daytime heating expected to peak near the long-term June average of 27°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover from regional patterns. This positioning drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C, as small differences in model guidance on peak insolation timing, urban heat island effects, or minor moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs for mid-June indicate low variability absent strong synoptic changes, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs against baseline climatology for resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,984Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul under stable high-pressure influence on June 15, with daytime heating expected to peak near the long-term June average of 27°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover from regional patterns. This positioning drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C, as small differences in model guidance on peak insolation timing, urban heat island effects, or minor moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs for mid-June indicate low variability absent strong synoptic changes, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs against baseline climatology for resolution on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,984Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF show Istanbul under stable high-pressure influence on June 15, with daytime heating expected to peak near the long-term June average of 27°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover from regional patterns. This positioning drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C, as small differences in model guidance on peak insolation timing, urban heat island effects, or minor moisture advection from the Sea of Marmara can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical analogs for mid-June indicate low variability absent strong synoptic changes, leaving traders weighing the latest model runs against baseline climatology for resolution on official observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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