Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
21°C 36%
22°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
MỚI
$16,109 KL.
MỚI
$16,109 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
36%
22°C
34%
23°C
16%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
MỚI
$16,109 KL.
MỚI
$16,109 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
$2,798 KL.
<1%
18°C
$939 KL.
1%
19°C
$1,538 KL.
3%
20°C
$917 KL.
14%
21°C
$959 KL.
36%
22°C
$972 KL.
34%
23°C
$689 KL.
16%
24°C
$2,131 KL.
3%
25°C
$1,409 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,978 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,927 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,109Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$16,109Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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