Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 16 amid the early tsuyu rainy season, supporting market-implied odds clustering around 26°C (36%) and 27°C (28.5%). Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected across Japan align with these central outcomes, though increased humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential showers could suppress daytime maxima by limiting solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short forecast horizon, with steering patterns and sea-surface influences keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 21%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
21%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 21%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$678 KL.
<1%
22°C
$68 KL.
1%
23°C
$396 KL.
1%
24°C
$63 KL.
4%
25°C
$88 KL.
21%
26°C
$75 KL.
36%
27°C
$33 KL.
29%
28°C
$157 KL.
10%
29°C
$25 KL.
2%
30°C
$40 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$447 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 16 amid the early tsuyu rainy season, supporting market-implied odds clustering around 26°C (36%) and 27°C (28.5%). Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected across Japan align with these central outcomes, though increased humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential showers could suppress daytime maxima by limiting solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short forecast horizon, with steering patterns and sea-surface influences keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,071Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 16 amid the early tsuyu rainy season, supporting market-implied odds clustering around 26°C (36%) and 27°C (28.5%). Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected across Japan align with these central outcomes, though increased humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential showers could suppress daytime maxima by limiting solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short forecast horizon, with steering patterns and sea-surface influences keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,071Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate partly cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 16 amid the early tsuyu rainy season, supporting market-implied odds clustering around 26°C (36%) and 27°C (28.5%). Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected across Japan align with these central outcomes, though increased humidity, variable cloud cover, and potential showers could suppress daytime maxima by limiting solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread due to the short forecast horizon, with steering patterns and sea-surface influences keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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