Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models cluster Seoul’s June 15 daytime maximum near 28–30 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins. Strong early-summer insolation combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports surface heating, while modest moisture and urban heat-island effects keep readings from spiking higher. Slight differences in afternoon convective timing and boundary-layer mixing among model runs create the narrow spread between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because no strong synoptic feature is expected to shift temperatures outside this range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 25%
27°C 11%
$36,783 KL.
$36,783 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C
29%
29°C
37%
30°C
25%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 37%
28°C 29%
30°C 25%
27°C 11%
$36,783 KL.
$36,783 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C
29%
29°C
37%
30°C
25%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models cluster Seoul’s June 15 daytime maximum near 28–30 °C, producing the tight market distribution around those bins. Strong early-summer insolation combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports surface heating, while modest moisture and urban heat-island effects keep readings from spiking higher. Slight differences in afternoon convective timing and boundary-layer mixing among model runs create the narrow spread between 28 °C and 30 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because no strong synoptic feature is expected to shift temperatures outside this range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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