**High-pressure systems building over western Europe have stabilized clear to mostly clear skies for Paris on June 17, 2026, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–33 °C.** Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and international models cluster overnight lows in the 16–18 °C range, with trader-implied probabilities tightly bunched around 15–17 °C because small differences in boundary-layer wind, low-level humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss after sunset, while light southwesterly winds (around 5–10 km/h) limit mixing and allow the urban heat island to moderate the coolest readings near the city center. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing of any subtle moisture return, keeping the distribution centered near 16 °C yet leaving room for 15 °C or 17 °C outcomes depending on the final forecast update. Historical June climatology places typical Paris minima around 13–15 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values several degrees above average.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
17°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C or below
4%
14°C
25%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C
27%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
17°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C or below
4%
14°C
25%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C
27%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**High-pressure systems building over western Europe have stabilized clear to mostly clear skies for Paris on June 17, 2026, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–33 °C.** Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and international models cluster overnight lows in the 16–18 °C range, with trader-implied probabilities tightly bunched around 15–17 °C because small differences in boundary-layer wind, low-level humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Clear skies promote stronger surface heat loss after sunset, while light southwesterly winds (around 5–10 km/h) limit mixing and allow the urban heat island to moderate the coolest readings near the city center. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing of any subtle moisture return, keeping the distribution centered near 16 °C yet leaving room for 15 °C or 17 °C outcomes depending on the final forecast update. Historical June climatology places typical Paris minima around 13–15 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors values several degrees above average.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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