Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 17 is expected near 22–24°C amid the East Asian monsoon’s plum rain (Meiyu) regime, which brings widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional models shows overnight lows moderated by persistent moisture and light winds, with historical mid-June climatology centering around 21–23°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects ensemble spread in precipitation timing and cloud thickness, both of which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated forecasts from the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any clearer break allows slightly lower readings or whether enhanced rain keeps values closer to 23°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
23°C 30%
22°C 19%
24°C 18%
25°C 10%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
19%
23°C
30%
24°C
18%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 30%
22°C 19%
24°C 18%
25°C 10%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
19%
23°C
30%
24°C
18%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shanghai's minimum temperature on June 17 is expected near 22–24°C amid the East Asian monsoon’s plum rain (Meiyu) regime, which brings widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official guidance from regional models shows overnight lows moderated by persistent moisture and light winds, with historical mid-June climatology centering around 21–23°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C reflects ensemble spread in precipitation timing and cloud thickness, both of which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. Updated forecasts from the next 24–48 hours will refine whether any clearer break allows slightly lower readings or whether enhanced rain keeps values closer to 23°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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