Latest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models positions 27°C as the most probable daily maximum in Munich on June 17, with clusters around 26–28°C reflecting moderate surface heating under variable high pressure and light southerly flow. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution by showing reduced cloud cover and stronger insolation compared to earlier cooler analogs, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on those three outcomes. Traders are pricing in typical short-range forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C or below due to limited precipitation signals and to 29°C-plus given modest upper-level support. Updated high-resolution ICON and ECMWF runs expected before resolution will likely drive any final repricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on June 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 17?
27°C 36%
26°C 26%
28°C 23%
25°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
26%
27°C
36%
28°C
23%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
26°C 26%
28°C 23%
25°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 17, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
22°C
$0 KL.
1%
23°C
$0 KL.
1%
24°C
$0 KL.
5%
25°C
$0 KL.
10%
26°C
$32 KL.
26%
27°C
$37 KL.
36%
28°C
$0 KL.
23%
29°C
$0 KL.
8%
30°C
$0 KL.
5%
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models positions 27°C as the most probable daily maximum in Munich on June 17, with clusters around 26–28°C reflecting moderate surface heating under variable high pressure and light southerly flow. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution by showing reduced cloud cover and stronger insolation compared to earlier cooler analogs, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on those three outcomes. Traders are pricing in typical short-range forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C or below due to limited precipitation signals and to 29°C-plus given modest upper-level support. Updated high-resolution ICON and ECMWF runs expected before resolution will likely drive any final repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$69Ngày kết thúc
Jun 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models positions 27°C as the most probable daily maximum in Munich on June 17, with clusters around 26–28°C reflecting moderate surface heating under variable high pressure and light southerly flow. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution by showing reduced cloud cover and stronger insolation compared to earlier cooler analogs, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on those three outcomes. Traders are pricing in typical short-range forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C or below due to limited precipitation signals and to 29°C-plus given modest upper-level support. Updated high-resolution ICON and ECMWF runs expected before resolution will likely drive any final repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$69Ngày kết thúc
Jun 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models positions 27°C as the most probable daily maximum in Munich on June 17, with clusters around 26–28°C reflecting moderate surface heating under variable high pressure and light southerly flow. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution by showing reduced cloud cover and stronger insolation compared to earlier cooler analogs, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on those three outcomes. Traders are pricing in typical short-range forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C, with lower probabilities assigned to 24°C or below due to limited precipitation signals and to 29°C-plus given modest upper-level support. Updated high-resolution ICON and ECMWF runs expected before resolution will likely drive any final repricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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