Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and others project a Madrid high of 31–32°C for June 15, directly supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by afternoon boundary-layer heating rates and possible thin high cloud, which can trim peak readings by 1°C. With June climatology averaging near 29°C and recent days running 2–3°C above normal under stable high pressure, traders weigh the risk of slight under- or over-forecasting typical of single-day verification against official station data. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 41%
31°C 36%
33°C 11.3%
30°C 5%
MỚI
$16,566 KL.
MỚI
$16,566 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
36%
32°C
41%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 36%
33°C 11.3%
30°C 5%
MỚI
$16,566 KL.
MỚI
$16,566 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
$414 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,627 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,968 KL.
1%
30°C
$2,061 KL.
5%
31°C
$1,456 KL.
36%
32°C
$1,943 KL.
41%
33°C
$2,349 KL.
11%
34°C
$2,924 KL.
2%
35°C
$1,101 KL.
<1%
36°C
$333 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and others project a Madrid high of 31–32°C for June 15, directly supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by afternoon boundary-layer heating rates and possible thin high cloud, which can trim peak readings by 1°C. With June climatology averaging near 29°C and recent days running 2–3°C above normal under stable high pressure, traders weigh the risk of slight under- or over-forecasting typical of single-day verification against official station data. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,566Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and others project a Madrid high of 31–32°C for June 15, directly supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by afternoon boundary-layer heating rates and possible thin high cloud, which can trim peak readings by 1°C. With June climatology averaging near 29°C and recent days running 2–3°C above normal under stable high pressure, traders weigh the risk of slight under- or over-forecasting typical of single-day verification against official station data. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$16,566Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and others project a Madrid high of 31–32°C for June 15, directly supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread driven by afternoon boundary-layer heating rates and possible thin high cloud, which can trim peak readings by 1°C. With June climatology averaging near 29°C and recent days running 2–3°C above normal under stable high pressure, traders weigh the risk of slight under- or over-forecasting typical of single-day verification against official station data. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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