Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to a 26–30°C range on June 17 amid widespread rain and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Multiple numerical models converge on maxima near 28–29°C, consistent with the market’s tight 28°C/29°C pricing, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures provides modest support for a possible 30°C outcome if showers arrive later than expected. High humidity and modest wind speeds further constrain rapid warming, leaving the precise peak sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of convective activity in the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
30°C 19%
27°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
14%
28°C
33%
29°C
34%
30°C
19%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 34%
28°C 33%
30°C 19%
27°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
14%
28°C
33%
29°C
34%
30°C
19%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to a 26–30°C range on June 17 amid widespread rain and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Multiple numerical models converge on maxima near 28–29°C, consistent with the market’s tight 28°C/29°C pricing, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures provides modest support for a possible 30°C outcome if showers arrive later than expected. High humidity and modest wind speeds further constrain rapid warming, leaving the precise peak sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of convective activity in the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp