Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for LaGuardia Airport indicate a high near 78°F under mostly sunny skies with light west winds, aligning with the market's strong preference for the 78-79°F bin. This outcome reflects typical mid-June climatology for New York City, where average daily maxima hover around 78-81°F, combined with benign atmospheric conditions that limit significant warming or cooling. Stable high pressure and modest onshore flow have kept temperatures from deviating sharply, while ensemble forecasts show low spread around this range ahead of any potential frontal passage. With resolution based on official observations today, traders appear to be pricing in minimal upside risk from afternoon heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on June 17?
76-77°F 61%
78-79°F 30%
80-81°F 4.3%
82-83°F 1.9%
$66,666 KL.
$66,666 KL.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
61%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 61%
78-79°F 30%
80-81°F 4.3%
82-83°F 1.9%
$66,666 KL.
$66,666 KL.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
61%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for LaGuardia Airport indicate a high near 78°F under mostly sunny skies with light west winds, aligning with the market's strong preference for the 78-79°F bin. This outcome reflects typical mid-June climatology for New York City, where average daily maxima hover around 78-81°F, combined with benign atmospheric conditions that limit significant warming or cooling. Stable high pressure and modest onshore flow have kept temperatures from deviating sharply, while ensemble forecasts show low spread around this range ahead of any potential frontal passage. With resolution based on official observations today, traders appear to be pricing in minimal upside risk from afternoon heating.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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