Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 20–22°C for São Paulo on June 11, driven by a passing cold front that introduces cooler, moist air and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime warming. This winter pattern aligns with climatological averages near 21°C but features model spread from subtle differences in frontal timing and cloud cover, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes. Official guidance from sources such as the National Institute of Meteorology highlights typical June variability in the region, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing capable of nudging the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 11?
21°C 34%
20°C 34%
22°C 18%
19°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 34%
20°C 34%
22°C 18%
19°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 20–22°C for São Paulo on June 11, driven by a passing cold front that introduces cooler, moist air and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime warming. This winter pattern aligns with climatological averages near 21°C but features model spread from subtle differences in frontal timing and cloud cover, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes. Official guidance from sources such as the National Institute of Meteorology highlights typical June variability in the region, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing capable of nudging the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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