Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on June 12?
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 KL.
$140,926 KL.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$140,926 KL.
$140,926 KL.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 10, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service indicate a daily maximum temperature of 17°C in Munich on June 12, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited insolation under a stable northwesterly flow. This setup has kept surface temperatures from rising further despite seasonal solar angles, aligning closely with model consensus that narrows peak readings to 16–17°C. Trader positioning at 99.9% implied probability for 17°C reflects this strong agreement and the late timing relative to resolution criteria. Unseasonal clearing or a sharper wind shift could allow brief warming toward 18°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given current stability indices and observational trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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