Official NWS forecasts project a mostly sunny Saturday high near 81°F for Seattle, aligning with the market's leading 80–83°F bins (over 60% combined implied probability). This stems from persistent high pressure promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover, offset by typical late-summer onshore marine flow that caps extremes below 85°F. Recent model runs show minimal shifts, with Thursday–Friday heat (upper 80s) giving way to slight moderation. Above the 76°F August climatological average, these conditions reflect broader 2026 warmth but remain within historical summer variability, with little downside risk for sub-78°F outcomes per current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 8?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 20%
78-79°F 9%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 20%
78-79°F 9%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts project a mostly sunny Saturday high near 81°F for Seattle, aligning with the market's leading 80–83°F bins (over 60% combined implied probability). This stems from persistent high pressure promoting subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover, offset by typical late-summer onshore marine flow that caps extremes below 85°F. Recent model runs show minimal shifts, with Thursday–Friday heat (upper 80s) giving way to slight moderation. Above the 76°F August climatological average, these conditions reflect broader 2026 warmth but remain within historical summer variability, with little downside risk for sub-78°F outcomes per current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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