Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 KL.
$62,164 KL.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$62,164 KL.
$62,164 KL.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders have converged on a 36°C high for Shenzhen on August 13 due to real-time official measurements from local meteorological stations aligning with this threshold amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with limited cloud cover and weak steering winds from the western Pacific subtropical high have supported peak daytime heating consistent with verified observations, rather than model projections. Historical August baselines for the region average near 32°C, but localized urban heat island effects and recent stable atmospheric patterns have pushed the verified maximum to this level. Scenarios that could still alter the recorded outcome include post-hoc quality-control adjustments by the China Meteorological Administration or discrepancies in station siting that revise the peak downward.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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