Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 12?
32°C 44%
31°C 40%
33°C 15%
30°C 3.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
40%
32°C
44%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 40%
33°C 15%
30°C 3.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 12, 2026
27°C or below
$291 KL.
<1%
28°C
$5 KL.
2%
29°C
$89 KL.
<1%
30°C
$99 KL.
3%
31°C
$394 KL.
40%
32°C
$230 KL.
44%
33°C
$155 KL.
15%
34°C
$211 KL.
1%
35°C
$92 KL.
<1%
36°C
$129 KL.
<1%
37°C or higher
$125 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,818Ngày kết thúc
Jul 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,818Ngày kết thúc
Jul 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles place Tel Aviv’s July 12 maximum near the July climatological average of 30–32 °C under typical onshore flow and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation. This tight distribution, with 31 °C and 32 °C together commanding roughly 80 % of market-implied probability, reflects limited spread in deterministic runs and the low likelihood of a hamsin easterly wind that would push readings to 34 °C or higher. Minor day-to-day adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed remain the chief sources of one-degree uncertainty ahead of the final observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp