Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 12?
29°C 40%
28°C 28%
30°C 18%
27°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
28%
29°C
40%
30°C
18%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
28°C 28%
30°C 18%
27°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
28%
29°C
40%
30°C
18%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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