Recent forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts project a daytime high of 16–17°C in Warsaw on June 11, driven by northerly flow and light showers that limit solar heating and suppress afternoon peaks. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those bins, as traders weigh the consensus guidance against typical early-June variability and the possibility of brief clearing that could allow an 18°C reading. Official observations will resolve the market at the highest recorded temperature, with model spreads and wind patterns remaining the key variables through the final 24 hours.