**Jon Ossoff faces Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s November 2026 Senate election, while Raphael Warnock’s term does not expire until 2029.** Recent polls show Ossoff leading by 6–9 points, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic. Ossoff has raised tens of millions, transferred substantial funds to the state party, and maintained broad support across key voter groups despite Georgia’s Republican lean in the 2024 presidential race. No credible reports indicate either senator plans to resign or face removal before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 97% for “No” reflects this stable positioning and Ossoff’s consistent polling edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp polling reversal remain the primary risks that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?
3% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
3% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Jon Ossoff faces Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s November 2026 Senate election, while Raphael Warnock’s term does not expire until 2029.** Recent polls show Ossoff leading by 6–9 points, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic. Ossoff has raised tens of millions, transferred substantial funds to the state party, and maintained broad support across key voter groups despite Georgia’s Republican lean in the 2024 presidential race. No credible reports indicate either senator plans to resign or face removal before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 97% for “No” reflects this stable positioning and Ossoff’s consistent polling edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp polling reversal remain the primary risks that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Thị trường mở: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,184Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Jon Ossoff faces Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s November 2026 Senate election, while Raphael Warnock’s term does not expire until 2029.** Recent polls show Ossoff leading by 6–9 points, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic. Ossoff has raised tens of millions, transferred substantial funds to the state party, and maintained broad support across key voter groups despite Georgia’s Republican lean in the 2024 presidential race. No credible reports indicate either senator plans to resign or face removal before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 97% for “No” reflects this stable positioning and Ossoff’s consistent polling edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp polling reversal remain the primary risks that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Khối lượng
$1,184Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Jon Ossoff faces Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s November 2026 Senate election, while Raphael Warnock’s term does not expire until 2029.** Recent polls show Ossoff leading by 6–9 points, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic. Ossoff has raised tens of millions, transferred substantial funds to the state party, and maintained broad support across key voter groups despite Georgia’s Republican lean in the 2024 presidential race. No credible reports indicate either senator plans to resign or face removal before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 97% for “No” reflects this stable positioning and Ossoff’s consistent polling edge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp polling reversal remain the primary risks that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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