Ossoff faces voters in the November 2026 Georgia Senate election against Republican Mike Collins, where recent polling averages show him ahead by roughly 5–7 points and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Lean to Likely Democratic. Strong fundraising, incumbency advantages, and a political environment shaped by prior statewide results support expectations that he will secure a second term. Warnock’s seat is not on the ballot until 2028, and neither senator has signaled any intention to resign or step aside before then. This combination underpins the 97% trader consensus against either leaving the chamber in 2026. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp polling reversal remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before Election Day.