**No holds a 59% market-implied probability on the “Love Wins: 2026 Edition” market because resolution requires all three celebrity milestones by December 31, 2026: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marrying, Tom Holland and Zendaya marrying, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner getting engaged.** Swift and Kelce already satisfied their condition with a July 3, 2026, wedding at Madison Square Garden. Holland and Zendaya likewise confirmed their marriage earlier in the year, with Holland subtly verifying the private ceremony during June press for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*. These developments have narrowed the market to whether Chalamet and Jenner will announce an engagement in the remaining months. Recent reporting shows the couple, together since 2023, remains committed but is explicitly not rushing the next step. Sources describe them as “very much in love” and content with the current pace, with no confirmed engagement plans or public signals as of late summer 2026. Traders appear to view the short timeline and the pair’s stated preference against haste as the dominant factors tilting sentiment toward No, though any late-year announcement could quickly shift the odds.