Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on July 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 17?
64-65°F 55%
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 36%
70-71°F 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 17, 2026
63°F or below
9%
64-65°F
55%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
28%
82°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 55%
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 36%
70-71°F 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 17, 2026
63°F or below
$37 KL.
9%
64-65°F
$37 KL.
55%
66-67°F
$5 KL.
32%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
33%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
36%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
36%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
36%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
36%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
33%
80-81°F
$15 KL.
28%
82°F or higher
$27 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$121Ngày kết thúc
Jul 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$121Ngày kết thúc
Jul 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NHC and NWS guidance point to an overnight low near 74–77°F in NYC on July 17, driven by a post-heatwave pattern with moderate southerly flow, dew points in the mid-60s, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Model consensus shows subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention that could shift the minimum by 2–3°F, keeping the 72–75°F bins tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology for Central Park places average lows near 70°F, so any strengthening high-pressure ridge or unexpected northerly shift would favor the lower 70–71°F outcome while persistent humidity would support the upper side. The next NWS update and 00Z model runs tonight represent the key data points likely to refine these odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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