Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance place the June 20 overnight low in New York City near the June climatological normal of 68 °F, with guidance clusters favoring 66–69 °F. Breezy west-to-northwest flow and limited cloud cover are expected to moderate radiational cooling, while a warm, humid air mass limits deeper drops. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint forecasts, keeping adjacent bins closely matched in trader pricing. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tonight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on June 20?
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 20%
70-71°F 12%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 20%
70-71°F 12%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance place the June 20 overnight low in New York City near the June climatological normal of 68 °F, with guidance clusters favoring 66–69 °F. Breezy west-to-northwest flow and limited cloud cover are expected to moderate radiational cooling, while a warm, humid air mass limits deeper drops. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint forecasts, keeping adjacent bins closely matched in trader pricing. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tonight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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