Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on July 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 20?
10°C or below 45%
12°C 40%
11°C 36%
13°C 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 20, 2026
10°C or below
45%
11°C
36%
12°C
40%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
36%
16°C
33%
17°C
28%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C or higher
5%
10°C or below 45%
12°C 40%
11°C 36%
13°C 36%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 KL.
45%
11°C
$0 KL.
36%
12°C
$0 KL.
40%
13°C
$0 KL.
36%
14°C
$0 KL.
36%
15°C
$0 KL.
36%
16°C
$27 KL.
33%
17°C
$37 KL.
28%
18°C
$27 KL.
1%
19°C
$32 KL.
9%
20°C or higher
$32 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$154Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$154Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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