New York's strong Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Kathy Hochul's status as incumbent governor seeking a second full term, underpins the market's heavy favoritism toward the Democratic nominee. Recent Siena and other polls from July and early August 2026 show Hochul leading Republican Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, by margins of 4 to 10 points, with race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Traders price the outcome at 94% for Democrat versus 6% for Republican, reflecting historical patterns of Democratic performance in the state and limited Republican breakthroughs despite national attention on the race. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments, or an unusually strong Republican turnout wave in the final months before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew York Governor Election Winner
New York Governor Election Winner
$95,926 KL.
$95,926 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
$95,926 KL.
$95,926 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$46,876 KL.
94%
Republican
$49,050 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York's strong Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Kathy Hochul's status as incumbent governor seeking a second full term, underpins the market's heavy favoritism toward the Democratic nominee. Recent Siena and other polls from July and early August 2026 show Hochul leading Republican Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, by margins of 4 to 10 points, with race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Traders price the outcome at 94% for Democrat versus 6% for Republican, reflecting historical patterns of Democratic performance in the state and limited Republican breakthroughs despite national attention on the race. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments, or an unusually strong Republican turnout wave in the final months before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Khối lượng
$95,926Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York's strong Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Kathy Hochul's status as incumbent governor seeking a second full term, underpins the market's heavy favoritism toward the Democratic nominee. Recent Siena and other polls from July and early August 2026 show Hochul leading Republican Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, by margins of 4 to 10 points, with race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Traders price the outcome at 94% for Democrat versus 6% for Republican, reflecting historical patterns of Democratic performance in the state and limited Republican breakthroughs despite national attention on the race. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments, or an unusually strong Republican turnout wave in the final months before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$95,926Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's strong Democratic lean in statewide races, combined with Kathy Hochul's status as incumbent governor seeking a second full term, underpins the market's heavy favoritism toward the Democratic nominee. Recent Siena and other polls from July and early August 2026 show Hochul leading Republican Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, by margins of 4 to 10 points, with race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Traders price the outcome at 94% for Democrat versus 6% for Republican, reflecting historical patterns of Democratic performance in the state and limited Republican breakthroughs despite national attention on the race. Potential shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments, or an unusually strong Republican turnout wave in the final months before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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