Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive and 2026 gubernatorial nominee, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying his home county against Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Nassau's suburban voter base has consistently favored Republicans in recent countywide contests, including Blakeman's own 12-point reelection margin. A June Siena/Newsday poll showed him narrowly ahead of Hochul among Nassau voters in the statewide race, while broader polling indicates a tightening contest overall. With both candidates advancing uncontested through June primaries and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects Blakeman's structural local advantages in turnout patterns and name recognition over Hochul's statewide positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Bruce Blakeman (R)
87%
Kathy Hochul (D)
14%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Bruce Blakeman (R)
$350 KL.
87%
Kathy Hochul (D)
$0 KL.
14%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive and 2026 gubernatorial nominee, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying his home county against Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Nassau's suburban voter base has consistently favored Republicans in recent countywide contests, including Blakeman's own 12-point reelection margin. A June Siena/Newsday poll showed him narrowly ahead of Hochul among Nassau voters in the statewide race, while broader polling indicates a tightening contest overall. With both candidates advancing uncontested through June primaries and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects Blakeman's structural local advantages in turnout patterns and name recognition over Hochul's statewide positioning.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$350Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive and 2026 gubernatorial nominee, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying his home county against Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Nassau's suburban voter base has consistently favored Republicans in recent countywide contests, including Blakeman's own 12-point reelection margin. A June Siena/Newsday poll showed him narrowly ahead of Hochul among Nassau voters in the statewide race, while broader polling indicates a tightening contest overall. With both candidates advancing uncontested through June primaries and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects Blakeman's structural local advantages in turnout patterns and name recognition over Hochul's statewide positioning.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Khối lượng
$350Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive and 2026 gubernatorial nominee, holds an 86.5% implied probability of carrying his home county against Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul. Nassau's suburban voter base has consistently favored Republicans in recent countywide contests, including Blakeman's own 12-point reelection margin. A June Siena/Newsday poll showed him narrowly ahead of Hochul among Nassau voters in the statewide race, while broader polling indicates a tightening contest overall. With both candidates advancing uncontested through June primaries and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects Blakeman's structural local advantages in turnout patterns and name recognition over Hochul's statewide positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp