Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$32,576 KL.
$32,576 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$32,576 KL.
$32,576 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$617 KL.
No
21°C
$356 KL.
No
22°C
$765 KL.
No
23°C
$1,599 KL.
No
24°C
$1,668 KL.
No
25°C
$3,933 KL.
No
26°C
$11,578 KL.
Yes
27°C
$6,351 KL.
No
28°C
$2,147 KL.
No
29°C
$2,078 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$1,485 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,576Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$32,576Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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