Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current station observations align with these projections, showing temperatures holding above this threshold through the evening under overcast conditions with scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this baseline, with typical lows around 25–27°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this strong data agreement, though an unexpected clear-sky breakout or intensified cold advection from a passing front could theoretically allow further nocturnal drops before midnight resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$41,867 KL.
$41,867 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$41,867 KL.
$41,867 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$313 KL.
No
21°C
$320 KL.
No
22°C
$535 KL.
No
23°C
$1,277 KL.
No
24°C
$1,211 KL.
No
25°C
$3,335 KL.
No
26°C
$5,972 KL.
Yes
27°C
$26,394 KL.
No
28°C
$1,795 KL.
No
29°C
$508 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$206 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current station observations align with these projections, showing temperatures holding above this threshold through the evening under overcast conditions with scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this baseline, with typical lows around 25–27°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this strong data agreement, though an unexpected clear-sky breakout or intensified cold advection from a passing front could theoretically allow further nocturnal drops before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,867Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current station observations align with these projections, showing temperatures holding above this threshold through the evening under overcast conditions with scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this baseline, with typical lows around 25–27°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this strong data agreement, though an unexpected clear-sky breakout or intensified cold advection from a passing front could theoretically allow further nocturnal drops before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$41,867Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current station observations align with these projections, showing temperatures holding above this threshold through the evening under overcast conditions with scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this baseline, with typical lows around 25–27°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this strong data agreement, though an unexpected clear-sky breakout or intensified cold advection from a passing front could theoretically allow further nocturnal drops before midnight resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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