Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate Shanghai's overnight low on July 15 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and urban heat retention are key variables that could push the minimum higher toward 29–30°C or allow slightly more cooling if skies clear. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched market odds around 28–29°C alongside elevated probability for 32°C+ reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential for warmer-than-expected conditions from persistent moisture. Historical July lows average near 27°C, providing context for the current positioning two days ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 15?
28°C 50%
29°C 22%
27°C 9%
30°C 5.8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
50%
29°C
22%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 50%
29°C 22%
27°C 9%
30°C 5.8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 15, 2026
22°C or below
$283 KL.
<1%
23°C
$642 KL.
<1%
24°C
$181 KL.
<1%
25°C
$81 KL.
1%
26°C
$312 KL.
4%
27°C
$577 KL.
9%
28°C
$538 KL.
50%
29°C
$126 KL.
22%
30°C
$188 KL.
6%
31°C
$164 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$575 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate Shanghai's overnight low on July 15 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and urban heat retention are key variables that could push the minimum higher toward 29–30°C or allow slightly more cooling if skies clear. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched market odds around 28–29°C alongside elevated probability for 32°C+ reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential for warmer-than-expected conditions from persistent moisture. Historical July lows average near 27°C, providing context for the current positioning two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,667Ngày kết thúc
Jul 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate Shanghai's overnight low on July 15 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and urban heat retention are key variables that could push the minimum higher toward 29–30°C or allow slightly more cooling if skies clear. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched market odds around 28–29°C alongside elevated probability for 32°C+ reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential for warmer-than-expected conditions from persistent moisture. Historical July lows average near 27°C, providing context for the current positioning two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,667Ngày kết thúc
Jul 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate Shanghai's overnight low on July 15 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and urban heat retention are key variables that could push the minimum higher toward 29–30°C or allow slightly more cooling if skies clear. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet the closely matched market odds around 28–29°C alongside elevated probability for 32°C+ reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential for warmer-than-expected conditions from persistent moisture. Historical July lows average near 27°C, providing context for the current positioning two days ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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