Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 15?
26°C 52%
27°C 23%
25°C 20%
24°C 6.9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
20%
26°C
52%
27°C
23%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 52%
27°C 23%
25°C 20%
24°C 6.9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
20%
26°C
52%
27°C
23%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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