**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate the overnight low for Toronto on August 27, 2026, will reach approximately 15°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 20 km/h gusting higher, following daytime highs near 26°C.** This positions the 15°C outcome as a key market focus amid observed early-morning temperatures around 19–20°C and radiational cooling expected after sunset. Recent model consensus reflects a cooler air mass advecting from the northwest, consistent with late-August climatology where Toronto’s average daily minimum falls to about 15–16°C. Trader emphasis on the 19°C bin likely reflects intraday readings or resolution criteria favoring the higher end of the overnight range, while lower outcomes (14°C or below) carry minimal implied probability given current steering patterns and lack of stronger cold advection. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on August 27?
16°C 48%
15°C 47%
17°C 47%
18°C 28%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
47%
16°C
48%
17°C
47%
18°C
28%
19°C
67%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
16°C 48%
15°C 47%
17°C 47%
18°C 28%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
47%
16°C
48%
17°C
47%
18°C
28%
19°C
67%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate the overnight low for Toronto on August 27, 2026, will reach approximately 15°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 20 km/h gusting higher, following daytime highs near 26°C.** This positions the 15°C outcome as a key market focus amid observed early-morning temperatures around 19–20°C and radiational cooling expected after sunset. Recent model consensus reflects a cooler air mass advecting from the northwest, consistent with late-August climatology where Toronto’s average daily minimum falls to about 15–16°C. Trader emphasis on the 19°C bin likely reflects intraday readings or resolution criteria favoring the higher end of the overnight range, while lower outcomes (14°C or below) carry minimal implied probability given current steering patterns and lack of stronger cold advection. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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