Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Supreme Leader by Iran's Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei, has remained inside the country despite persistent reports of injuries from the same airstrike that killed his predecessor. Iranian officials describe him as in full health and directing policy through secure channels, while external assessments note his recovery from facial wounds and a fractured leg at protected sites such as Qom. No verified departures, travel preparations, or exile signals have emerged amid active conflict and U.S.-Iran negotiations. The low implied probability of departure by June 30 reflects his central institutional role, wartime security constraints, and the regime's need for continuity in leadership during a period of heightened external pressure.