John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJohn Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 KL.
$11,060 KL.
May 7, 2026
John Swinney
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
1%
Malcolm Offord
1%
Russell Findlay
1%
Anas Sarwar
<1%
Ross Greer
<1%
Gillian Mackay
<1%
John Swinney 99.6%
Alex Cole-Hamilton <1%
Malcolm Offord <1%
Russell Findlay <1%
$11,060 KL.
$11,060 KL.
May 7, 2026
John Swinney
$3,218 KL.
100%
Alex Cole-Hamilton
$1,346 KL.
1%
Malcolm Offord
$912 KL.
1%
Russell Findlay
$2,554 KL.
1%
Anas Sarwar
$1,945 KL.
<1%
Ross Greer
$515 KL.
<1%
Gillian Mackay
$570 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,060Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as First Minister following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such First Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Scotland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$11,060Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...John Swinney holds a near-certain position in the market for Scotland’s next First Minister due to his unopposed election as Scottish National Party leader after Humza Yousaf’s resignation. With full backing from SNP MSPs and members, Swinney is expected to secure the formal parliamentary nomination without contest. The minimal odds attached to other names, such as Anas Sarwar or Alex Cole-Hamilton, reflect the absence of viable cross-party alternatives or sudden changes in seat distribution. Only an unexpected development—such as a major health issue, internal party rupture, or last-minute scandal—could realistically reopen the contest before the Scottish Parliament vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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