Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat holds a commanding trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win New York's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising superiority—with over $1 million cash on hand versus challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier's $220,000—and fresh endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC, Congressional Hispanic Caucus, and Congressional Black Caucus announced this week. Avila Chevalier, at 28.5%, benefits from DSA, Justice Democrats, and UAW backing amid progressive pushback on Espaillat's Israel stance, with her April internal poll showing a post-messaging tie (46%-35%). Traders prioritize Espaillat's name recognition and establishment machine in the Dominican-heavy Upper Manhattan and Bronx district over the challenger's grassroots surge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Adriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 29%
Oscar Romero 1.5%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,629 KL.
$22,629 KL.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
29%
Oscar Romero
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 29%
Oscar Romero 1.5%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,629 KL.
$22,629 KL.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
29%
Oscar Romero
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat holds a commanding trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win New York's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising superiority—with over $1 million cash on hand versus challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier's $220,000—and fresh endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC, Congressional Hispanic Caucus, and Congressional Black Caucus announced this week. Avila Chevalier, at 28.5%, benefits from DSA, Justice Democrats, and UAW backing amid progressive pushback on Espaillat's Israel stance, with her April internal poll showing a post-messaging tie (46%-35%). Traders prioritize Espaillat's name recognition and establishment machine in the Dominican-heavy Upper Manhattan and Bronx district over the challenger's grassroots surge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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