Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability in the NJ-07 Democratic primary due to endorsements from four key county Democratic committees—Hunterdon, Morris, Somerset, and Union—bolstering her establishment support in this swing district battleground against incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. Her April endorsement from former rival Megan O'Rourke and strong small-donor fundraising further consolidate her position as the June 2 primary nears. Brian Varela trails at 24% on self-funding enabling TV ads and backing from Sussex and Warren counties, while Tina Shah and Michael Roth lag below 5% amid weaker resources; Roth's voter data access suspension this week hurts further. The May 12 New Jersey Globe debate highlighted electability and Kean critiques but reinforced Bennett's frontrunner status among skin-in-the-game bettors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Rebecca Bennett 77%
Brian Varela 24.1%
Tina Shah 4.7%
Michael Roth 4.3%
Rebecca Bennett
77%
Brian Varela
24%
Tina Shah
5%
Michael Roth
4%
Rebecca Bennett 77%
Brian Varela 24.1%
Tina Shah 4.7%
Michael Roth 4.3%
Rebecca Bennett
77%
Brian Varela
24%
Tina Shah
5%
Michael Roth
4%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability in the NJ-07 Democratic primary due to endorsements from four key county Democratic committees—Hunterdon, Morris, Somerset, and Union—bolstering her establishment support in this swing district battleground against incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. Her April endorsement from former rival Megan O'Rourke and strong small-donor fundraising further consolidate her position as the June 2 primary nears. Brian Varela trails at 24% on self-funding enabling TV ads and backing from Sussex and Warren counties, while Tina Shah and Michael Roth lag below 5% amid weaker resources; Roth's voter data access suspension this week hurts further. The May 12 New Jersey Globe debate highlighted electability and Kean critiques but reinforced Bennett's frontrunner status among skin-in-the-game bettors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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