Christine Drazan's commanding 83.5% implied probability in the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary stems from her consistent double-digit leads in late April polls—averaging 36% against Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 16% in a fragmented field of 14 candidates—bolstered by name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee. High undecided shares (up to 33%) favor the frontrunner amid low-turnout primaries, with no new surveys since April 28 to challenge her momentum. Diehl's second-place standing reflects his grassroots success gathering signatures for a gas tax referendum. Ballots mailed April 29, the May 19 primary looms with early returns pending but sentiment steady.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOregon Governor Republican Primary Winner
Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner
Christine Drazan 84%
Ed Diehl 14.6%
Chris Dudley 2.3%
Kyle Duyck <1%
$116,134 KL.
$116,134 KL.
May 19, 2026
Christine Drazan
84%
Ed Diehl
15%
Chris Dudley
2%
Kyle Duyck
<1%
Danielle Bethell
<1%
Robert Neuman
<1%
Chael Sonnen
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
Brad T. Peters
<1%
David Medina
<1%
Patrick Kopke-Hales
<1%
Christine Drazan 84%
Ed Diehl 14.6%
Chris Dudley 2.3%
Kyle Duyck <1%
$116,134 KL.
$116,134 KL.
May 19, 2026
Christine Drazan
$23,776 KL.
84%
Ed Diehl
$7,389 KL.
15%
Chris Dudley
$13,730 KL.
2%
Kyle Duyck
$20,134 KL.
<1%
Danielle Bethell
$9,140 KL.
<1%
Robert Neuman
$10,930 KL.
<1%
Chael Sonnen
$12,745 KL.
<1%
Caleb Kintz
$5,779 KL.
<1%
Brad T. Peters
$3,954 KL.
<1%
David Medina
$4,102 KL.
<1%
Patrick Kopke-Hales
$4,471 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan's commanding 83.5% implied probability in the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary stems from her consistent double-digit leads in late April polls—averaging 36% against Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 16% in a fragmented field of 14 candidates—bolstered by name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee. High undecided shares (up to 33%) favor the frontrunner amid low-turnout primaries, with no new surveys since April 28 to challenge her momentum. Diehl's second-place standing reflects his grassroots success gathering signatures for a gas tax referendum. Ballots mailed April 29, the May 19 primary looms with early returns pending but sentiment steady.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$116,134Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan's commanding 83.5% implied probability in the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary stems from her consistent double-digit leads in late April polls—averaging 36% against Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 16% in a fragmented field of 14 candidates—bolstered by name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee. High undecided shares (up to 33%) favor the frontrunner amid low-turnout primaries, with no new surveys since April 28 to challenge her momentum. Diehl's second-place standing reflects his grassroots success gathering signatures for a gas tax referendum. Ballots mailed April 29, the May 19 primary looms with early returns pending but sentiment steady.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Khối lượng
$116,134Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christine Drazan's commanding 83.5% implied probability in the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary stems from her consistent double-digit leads in late April polls—averaging 36% against Ed Diehl's 18% and Chris Dudley's 16% in a fragmented field of 14 candidates—bolstered by name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee. High undecided shares (up to 33%) favor the frontrunner amid low-turnout primaries, with no new surveys since April 28 to challenge her momentum. Diehl's second-place standing reflects his grassroots success gathering signatures for a gas tax referendum. Ballots mailed April 29, the May 19 primary looms with early returns pending but sentiment steady.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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