State Sen. David Brock Smith leads Oregon Republican U.S. Senate primary trader consensus at 67% implied probability, driven by establishment endorsements from the Taxpayers Association of Oregon, Oregon Right to Life, House Republican Leader Vikki Breese-Iverson, Whip Bobby Levy Osborne, and Rep. Alek Skarlatos, alongside his Senate Republican deputy leader role and fundraising edge as ballots mailed April 29 for the May 19 contest. Jo Rae Perkins trails at 30% on name recognition from prior statewide bids, including the 2020 Senate general election loss, appealing to a loyal base despite past defeats. Fragmented support keeps others below 3%, with no public polls but traders favoring Smith's viability against incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley in November amid low-turnout primary dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOregon Republican Senate Primary Winner
Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner
David Brock Smith 65.6%
Jo Rae Perkins 30%
Russell McAlmond 2.5%
Joe Johnson 1.3%
$90,542 KL.
$90,542 KL.
David Brock Smith
62%
Jo Rae Perkins
30%
Russell McAlmond
2%
Joe Johnson
1%
David Burch
1%
Deborah C. Brown
1%
Tim Skelton
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
David Brock Smith 65.6%
Jo Rae Perkins 30%
Russell McAlmond 2.5%
Joe Johnson 1.3%
$90,542 KL.
$90,542 KL.
David Brock Smith
62%
Jo Rae Perkins
30%
Russell McAlmond
2%
Joe Johnson
1%
David Burch
1%
Deborah C. Brown
1%
Tim Skelton
1%
Brent Barker
<1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. David Brock Smith leads Oregon Republican U.S. Senate primary trader consensus at 67% implied probability, driven by establishment endorsements from the Taxpayers Association of Oregon, Oregon Right to Life, House Republican Leader Vikki Breese-Iverson, Whip Bobby Levy Osborne, and Rep. Alek Skarlatos, alongside his Senate Republican deputy leader role and fundraising edge as ballots mailed April 29 for the May 19 contest. Jo Rae Perkins trails at 30% on name recognition from prior statewide bids, including the 2020 Senate general election loss, appealing to a loyal base despite past defeats. Fragmented support keeps others below 3%, with no public polls but traders favoring Smith's viability against incumbent Sen. Jeff Merkley in November amid low-turnout primary dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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