Paloma Valencia’s position as a distant third in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential first round stems from the fragmentation of the center-right vote and the rapid rise of outsider Abelardo de la Espriella. After winning the Gran Consulta por Colombia primary with over three million votes, Valencia’s general-election support eroded amid campaign missteps, including a contentious vice-presidential selection, limited direct engagement with rivals, and heavy emphasis on former President Álvaro Uribe. Late polls placed her below 15 percent as de la Espriella consolidated right-wing backing with hardline security messaging. Traders assign overwhelming probability to under 10 percent because these structural and tactical factors produced a final tally near 7 percent, with few remaining variables—such as official certification delays—likely to alter the outcome materially.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPaloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 KL.
$14,641 KL.
May 31, 2026
<10%
100%
10-15%
<1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 99.6%
10-15% <1%
25-30% <1%
35%+ <1%
$14,641 KL.
$14,641 KL.
May 31, 2026
<10%
$7,693 KL.
100%
10-15%
$1,553 KL.
<1%
15-20%
$733 KL.
<1%
20-25%
$1,062 KL.
<1%
25-30%
$2,496 KL.
<1%
30-35%
$688 KL.
<1%
35%+
$415 KL.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia’s position as a distant third in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential first round stems from the fragmentation of the center-right vote and the rapid rise of outsider Abelardo de la Espriella. After winning the Gran Consulta por Colombia primary with over three million votes, Valencia’s general-election support eroded amid campaign missteps, including a contentious vice-presidential selection, limited direct engagement with rivals, and heavy emphasis on former President Álvaro Uribe. Late polls placed her below 15 percent as de la Espriella consolidated right-wing backing with hardline security messaging. Traders assign overwhelming probability to under 10 percent because these structural and tactical factors produced a final tally near 7 percent, with few remaining variables—such as official certification delays—likely to alter the outcome materially.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Thị trường mở: May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,641Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia’s position as a distant third in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential first round stems from the fragmentation of the center-right vote and the rapid rise of outsider Abelardo de la Espriella. After winning the Gran Consulta por Colombia primary with over three million votes, Valencia’s general-election support eroded amid campaign missteps, including a contentious vice-presidential selection, limited direct engagement with rivals, and heavy emphasis on former President Álvaro Uribe. Late polls placed her below 15 percent as de la Espriella consolidated right-wing backing with hardline security messaging. Traders assign overwhelming probability to under 10 percent because these structural and tactical factors produced a final tally near 7 percent, with few remaining variables—such as official certification delays—likely to alter the outcome materially.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Khối lượng
$14,641Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paloma Valencia’s position as a distant third in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential first round stems from the fragmentation of the center-right vote and the rapid rise of outsider Abelardo de la Espriella. After winning the Gran Consulta por Colombia primary with over three million votes, Valencia’s general-election support eroded amid campaign missteps, including a contentious vice-presidential selection, limited direct engagement with rivals, and heavy emphasis on former President Álvaro Uribe. Late polls placed her below 15 percent as de la Espriella consolidated right-wing backing with hardline security messaging. Traders assign overwhelming probability to under 10 percent because these structural and tactical factors produced a final tally near 7 percent, with few remaining variables—such as official certification delays—likely to alter the outcome materially.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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