Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, finishing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and advancing to the June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities and Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results have anchored market pricing firmly in the 40-45% range. Pre-election polling averages had positioned the Historic Pact senator as the leader, yet late momentum for the right-wing outsider and consolidation of center-right votes behind de la Espriella narrowed Cepeda’s margin. With the vote count complete and turnout figures verified, few unresolved variables remain that could shift the first-round share outside the current bracket before final market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 98.8%
45-50% 3.0%
50-55% 2.8%
35-40% 1.1%
$31,803 KL.
$31,803 KL.
May 31, 2026
<30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35-40%
1%
40-45%
99%
45-50%
3%
50-55%
3%
55%+
<1%
40-45% 98.8%
45-50% 3.0%
50-55% 2.8%
35-40% 1.1%
$31,803 KL.
$31,803 KL.
May 31, 2026
<30%
$5,437 KL.
1%
30-35%
$2,208 KL.
1%
35-40%
$3,804 KL.
1%
40-45%
$9,241 KL.
99%
45-50%
$3,491 KL.
3%
50-55%
$3,190 KL.
3%
55%+
$4,432 KL.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, finishing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and advancing to the June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities and Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results have anchored market pricing firmly in the 40-45% range. Pre-election polling averages had positioned the Historic Pact senator as the leader, yet late momentum for the right-wing outsider and consolidation of center-right votes behind de la Espriella narrowed Cepeda’s margin. With the vote count complete and turnout figures verified, few unresolved variables remain that could shift the first-round share outside the current bracket before final market resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Thị trường mở: May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$31,803Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, finishing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and advancing to the June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities and Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results have anchored market pricing firmly in the 40-45% range. Pre-election polling averages had positioned the Historic Pact senator as the leader, yet late momentum for the right-wing outsider and consolidation of center-right votes behind de la Espriella narrowed Cepeda’s margin. With the vote count complete and turnout figures verified, few unresolved variables remain that could shift the first-round share outside the current bracket before final market resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Khối lượng
$31,803Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cepeda secured 40.9% of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, finishing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7% and advancing to the June 21 runoff. Official certification by electoral authorities and Cepeda’s subsequent acceptance of the results have anchored market pricing firmly in the 40-45% range. Pre-election polling averages had positioned the Historic Pact senator as the leader, yet late momentum for the right-wing outsider and consolidation of center-right votes behind de la Espriella narrowed Cepeda’s margin. With the vote count complete and turnout figures verified, few unresolved variables remain that could shift the first-round share outside the current bracket before final market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp