Recent first-round results and runoff polling have established Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner against Iván Cepeda Castro, with the right-wing outsider capturing 43.7% to Cepeda’s 40.9% on May 31 and leading subsequent surveys by roughly seven points ahead of the June 21 vote. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia and other center-right figures have consolidated support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda has sought to broaden his appeal by moderating positions on constitutional change. The narrow first-round gap, combined with roughly 15% of ballots cast for eliminated candidates and persistent polarization over security policy, crime, and the Petro legacy, has kept the contest competitive. Traders appear to view these dynamics as favoring a modest victory margin rather than a blowout or reversal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtde la Espriella 5-10% 53%
de la Espriella 10-15% 21%
de la Espriella 0-5% 13%
Cepeda Castro Win 11%
$122,284 KL.
$122,284 KL.
Jun 22, 2026
de la Espriella 15%+
6%
de la Espriella 10-15%
21%
de la Espriella 5-10%
53%
de la Espriella 0-5%
13%
Cepeda Castro Win
11%
de la Espriella 5-10% 53%
de la Espriella 10-15% 21%
de la Espriella 0-5% 13%
Cepeda Castro Win 11%
$122,284 KL.
$122,284 KL.
Jun 22, 2026
de la Espriella 15%+
$27,533 KL.
6%
de la Espriella 10-15%
$28,724 KL.
21%
de la Espriella 5-10%
$25,334 KL.
53%
de la Espriella 0-5%
$25,400 KL.
13%
Cepeda Castro Win
$15,345 KL.
11%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent first-round results and runoff polling have established Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner against Iván Cepeda Castro, with the right-wing outsider capturing 43.7% to Cepeda’s 40.9% on May 31 and leading subsequent surveys by roughly seven points ahead of the June 21 vote. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia and other center-right figures have consolidated support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda has sought to broaden his appeal by moderating positions on constitutional change. The narrow first-round gap, combined with roughly 15% of ballots cast for eliminated candidates and persistent polarization over security policy, crime, and the Petro legacy, has kept the contest competitive. Traders appear to view these dynamics as favoring a modest victory margin rather than a blowout or reversal.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Jun 5, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$122,284Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent first-round results and runoff polling have established Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner against Iván Cepeda Castro, with the right-wing outsider capturing 43.7% to Cepeda’s 40.9% on May 31 and leading subsequent surveys by roughly seven points ahead of the June 21 vote. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia and other center-right figures have consolidated support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda has sought to broaden his appeal by moderating positions on constitutional change. The narrow first-round gap, combined with roughly 15% of ballots cast for eliminated candidates and persistent polarization over security policy, crime, and the Petro legacy, has kept the contest competitive. Traders appear to view these dynamics as favoring a modest victory margin rather than a blowout or reversal.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$122,284Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent first-round results and runoff polling have established Abelardo de la Espriella as the frontrunner against Iván Cepeda Castro, with the right-wing outsider capturing 43.7% to Cepeda’s 40.9% on May 31 and leading subsequent surveys by roughly seven points ahead of the June 21 vote. Third-place finisher Paloma Valencia and other center-right figures have consolidated support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda has sought to broaden his appeal by moderating positions on constitutional change. The narrow first-round gap, combined with roughly 15% of ballots cast for eliminated candidates and persistent polarization over security policy, crime, and the Petro legacy, has kept the contest competitive. Traders appear to view these dynamics as favoring a modest victory margin rather than a blowout or reversal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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