Swiss voters will decide two national ballot measures on June 14, 2026: the “No to ten million Switzerland” popular initiative, which would require the government to keep permanent resident population below 10 million by 2050 through immigration limits and possible termination of the EU free-movement accord, and an amendment to the Civilian Service Act. Recent polls show the population-cap initiative essentially tied, with support at 47 percent and opposition at 47 percent in the latest GfS Bern survey, while the civilian-service reform enjoys broader backing. The federal government has opposed the cap measure, warning it would harm economic growth, labor supply in key sectors, and bilateral relations with the EU, Switzerland’s largest trading partner. Campaign momentum and any late shifts in turnout among swing voters and cantons will determine final passage under Switzerland’s direct-democracy rules requiring both popular and cantonal majorities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSwitzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?
$103,391 KL.
Civilian Service Act
76%
No to ten million Switzerland
36%
$103,391 KL.
Civilian Service Act
76%
No to ten million Switzerland
36%
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide two national ballot measures on June 14, 2026: the “No to ten million Switzerland” popular initiative, which would require the government to keep permanent resident population below 10 million by 2050 through immigration limits and possible termination of the EU free-movement accord, and an amendment to the Civilian Service Act. Recent polls show the population-cap initiative essentially tied, with support at 47 percent and opposition at 47 percent in the latest GfS Bern survey, while the civilian-service reform enjoys broader backing. The federal government has opposed the cap measure, warning it would harm economic growth, labor supply in key sectors, and bilateral relations with the EU, Switzerland’s largest trading partner. Campaign momentum and any late shifts in turnout among swing voters and cantons will determine final passage under Switzerland’s direct-democracy rules requiring both popular and cantonal majorities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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