Michigan voters face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026—Proposal 2026-01—asking whether to convene a constitutional convention to potentially rewrite the 1963 state constitution, a measure required every 16 years under Article XII. Trader consensus prices "No" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting historical base rates where voters rejected similar calls in 1978 (64% no), 1994 (66% no), and 2010 (66% no) amid concerns over unpredictable outcomes. Recent opposition solidified in March 2026 with endorsements against by the Michigan Democratic Party, Michigan Education Association, Michigan Chamber, and a broad coalition of business, labor, and democracy groups, warning of special interest risks and process delays. Lacking visible pro-convention campaigns or supportive polling, odds capture low momentum amid competitive midterm races for all state legislative seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026—Proposal 2026-01—asking whether to convene a constitutional convention to potentially rewrite the 1963 state constitution, a measure required every 16 years under Article XII. Trader consensus prices "No" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting historical base rates where voters rejected similar calls in 1978 (64% no), 1994 (66% no), and 2010 (66% no) amid concerns over unpredictable outcomes. Recent opposition solidified in March 2026 with endorsements against by the Michigan Democratic Party, Michigan Education Association, Michigan Chamber, and a broad coalition of business, labor, and democracy groups, warning of special interest risks and process delays. Lacking visible pro-convention campaigns or supportive polling, odds capture low momentum amid competitive midterm races for all state legislative seats.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Thị trường mở: Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,054Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026—Proposal 2026-01—asking whether to convene a constitutional convention to potentially rewrite the 1963 state constitution, a measure required every 16 years under Article XII. Trader consensus prices "No" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting historical base rates where voters rejected similar calls in 1978 (64% no), 1994 (66% no), and 2010 (66% no) amid concerns over unpredictable outcomes. Recent opposition solidified in March 2026 with endorsements against by the Michigan Democratic Party, Michigan Education Association, Michigan Chamber, and a broad coalition of business, labor, and democracy groups, warning of special interest risks and process delays. Lacking visible pro-convention campaigns or supportive polling, odds capture low momentum amid competitive midterm races for all state legislative seats.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Khối lượng
$6,054Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters face an automatic ballot question on November 3, 2026—Proposal 2026-01—asking whether to convene a constitutional convention to potentially rewrite the 1963 state constitution, a measure required every 16 years under Article XII. Trader consensus prices "No" at 69.5% implied probability, reflecting historical base rates where voters rejected similar calls in 1978 (64% no), 1994 (66% no), and 2010 (66% no) amid concerns over unpredictable outcomes. Recent opposition solidified in March 2026 with endorsements against by the Michigan Democratic Party, Michigan Education Association, Michigan Chamber, and a broad coalition of business, labor, and democracy groups, warning of special interest risks and process delays. Lacking visible pro-convention campaigns or supportive polling, odds capture low momentum amid competitive midterm races for all state legislative seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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