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Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

icon for Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

15% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI
15% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).**Missouri Amendment 3**, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, would repeal the voter-approved 2024 reproductive freedom provision, restrict abortion to limited exceptions (medical emergency, rape or incest up to 12 weeks, or fetal anomaly), add parental consent requirements, and embed a permanent ban on gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for minors. The latter provision largely codifies restrictions already enacted in 2023 statute (with a 2027 sunset under active legislative challenge to make permanent). Opposition campaigns launched in spring 2026 emphasize the measure’s effort to override the 2024 electorate’s decision, while legal challenges have already forced revisions to ballot language. Recent polling indicates the gender-care restrictions enjoy broad support and could help the measure, yet the linkage to abortion limits has not overcome broader voter resistance to rolling back recently expanded reproductive rights. With active litigation over the 2024 amendment still unresolved and organized opposition framing the proposal as a reversal of voter will, trader consensus assigns low probability of passage.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Khối lượng
$604
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026
Thị trường mở
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).**Missouri Amendment 3**, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, would repeal the voter-approved 2024 reproductive freedom provision, restrict abortion to limited exceptions (medical emergency, rape or incest up to 12 weeks, or fetal anomaly), add parental consent requirements, and embed a permanent ban on gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for minors. The latter provision largely codifies restrictions already enacted in 2023 statute (with a 2027 sunset under active legislative challenge to make permanent). Opposition campaigns launched in spring 2026 emphasize the measure’s effort to override the 2024 electorate’s decision, while legal challenges have already forced revisions to ballot language. Recent polling indicates the gender-care restrictions enjoy broad support and could help the measure, yet the linkage to abortion limits has not overcome broader voter resistance to rolling back recently expanded reproductive rights. With active litigation over the 2024 amendment still unresolved and organized opposition framing the proposal as a reversal of voter will, trader consensus assigns low probability of passage.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Khối lượng
$604
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026
Thị trường mở
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).

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"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần "Có" hoặc "Không" dựa trên việc họ tin sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra hay không. Xác suất cộng đồng hiện tại là 18% cho "Yes." Ví dụ, nếu "Có" ở giá 18¢, thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 18% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Mar 2, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?," chỉ cần chọn bạn tin câu trả lời là "Có" hay "Không." Mỗi phía có giá hiện tại phản ánh xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" và kết quả là "Có," mỗi cổ phần trả $1. Nếu kết quả là "Không," cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Xác suất hiện tại cho "Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?" là 18% cho "Yes." Điều này có nghĩa cộng đồng Polymarket hiện tin rằng có 18% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này cập nhật theo thời gian thực dựa trên giao dịch thực tế, cung cấp tín hiệu liên tục cập nhật về điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.

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